Analyzing the Transition to Electric Drive in California

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Dr. David Greene, Baker Center Senior Fellow for Energy & the Environment, has released a report on issues associated with transitioning to electric drive vehicles. The research was funded by the International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT).  Dr. Greene was aided by University of Tennessee graduate student, Sangsoo Park, Department of Economics, and Changzheng Liu, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tennessee.

This report, Transition to Electric Drive 2013 report.FINAL, describes an effort to model the transition to electric drive vehicles in California, including measuring the costs and benefits, quantifying the transition barriers and network external benefits, and estimating the effects of public policies on the transition process. The study used the Light-duty Alternative Vehicle and Energy Transitions (LAVE-Trans) model developed for this project. It was designed to measure external benefits, albeit imperfectly. Recognizing and measuring the value of early deployment of vehicles and infrastructure at a time when it might appear to be uneconomical is an important part of understanding the new paradigm for energy transitions.  It is hoped that future research and analysis will narrow the uncertainties and develop improved tools to support public policy decisions.  In the meantime, this report provides insight that should prove valuable for continued research and policy decisions.